Monday, November 23, 2015

ISIS Oil Road Cut Off

Oil industry is subject for war for centuries. Oilfields in Syria and Iraq account for war detonation as the United States of American back for one oil road while the United of Russia initiates for other oil road network. This week, the Russian military cabinet decided to conduct a destroy military operation aiming to down the ISIS oil road. The Russia had offering several assistance to Syria include the fields of military and oil industry.



Turkey is known as the client of ISIS' oil market. Russia action in downing the ISIS oil industry meaning of cutting off the Turkey's interest as well as the NATO profits.  Below video clip will help you all  in analysis war in Syria-Iraq-ISIS and probably the Iran and Turkey.

OIL INDUSTRY HERE

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Caspian pipeline politics of Europe, Russia and China

OIL INDUSTRY SCREEN HERE




The rise of ISIL In Syria, opposition parties that do not join the Syria National Coalition, ISIL and al-Nusrah Front which is designated as a terrorist organization due to its relations with Al-Qaeda, gained strength by making use of the politically unstable situation. In this context, in April 2013, ISIL announced unilaterally that it would absorb and merge with al-Nusrah Front. Following protests from al-Nusrah Front, the Al-Qaeda core conducted mediation. However, ISIL did not comply with the mediation, and its relations with the Al-Qaeda core have deteriorated Meanwhile, following the withdrawal of U.S. Forces in December 2011, the security situation in Iraq deteriorated rapidly against the backdrop of political feuds and religious confrontations. In January 2014, ISIL, which had increasingly gained

The rise of ISIL

In Syria, opposition parties that do not join the Syria National Coalition, ISIL and al-Nusrah Front which is designated as a terrorist organization due to its relations with Al-Qaeda, gained strength by making use of the politically unstable situation. In this context, in April 2013, ISIL announced unilaterally that it would absorb and merge with al-Nusrah Front. Following protests from al-Nusrah Front, the Al-Qaeda core conducted mediation. However, ISIL did not comply with the mediation, and its relations with the Al-Qaeda core have deteriorated

Meanwhile, following the withdrawal of U.S. Forces in December 2011, the security situation in Iraq deteriorated rapidly against the backdrop of political feuds and religious confrontations. In January 2014, ISIL, which had increasingly gained strength from its stronghold in Syria, seized the unstable situation in Iraq to begin invading areas in western Iraq, and occupied Fallujah, a city west of the capital city of Baghdad. In June 2014, ISIL took control of the second largest city, Mosul, in northern Iraq. Following this, ISIL’s leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, a self-proclaimed “caliph”14, unilaterally declared the establishment of the “Islamic State” and has called on Islam followers throughout the world to pledge their allegiance to him.

(3) The characteristics of ISIL
ISIL, unlike traditional terrorist organizations, is said to be characterized by its substantial funding, powerful and accomplished military forces, and established organizational structure15. In addition, it is deemed that ISIL’s membership includes Ba’ath Party members from the former Iraqi regime as well as former Iraqi military officers, along with numerous foreign fighters. Having an adept public
relations strategy16, about 25,000 people including 3,400 people from the West are said to be participating in ISIL’s activities17. Since launching the invasion of Iraq, ISIL has: utilized equipment seized from the Iraqi Security Forces and other forces; has successively taken control of key cities, oil field areas, and military facilities in Iraq and Syria; and thereby, expanded its area of control.

ISIL gives priority to maintaining the areas under its control. At the same time, ISIL encourages terrorist attacks against the West and elsewhere. The risk of terrorist attacks by ISIL fighters who have returned to their countries from conflict areas, such as Iraq and Syria, is a cause for concern among the states18.

(4) The international response to ISIL
In August 2014, ISIL launched an offensive against the Kurdish Autonomous Region in northern Iraq, and made advances towards Erbil where the U.S. Consulate and other facilities are located. Based on this situation, the United States and other countries19 began airstrikes on ISIL in order to protect U.S. citizens in Iraq, among other purposes20. In an address on the U.S. strategy for ISIL delivered in September 2014, President Obama stated that the military action would be extended to include Syria to degrade and ultimately destroy ISIL. President Obama announced that the United States would not only lead a broad coalition to conduct airstrikes, but also provide military supports to the Iraqi Security Forces fighting a ground war and to the moderate opposition party in Syria.

The Coalition’s military action in Iraq includes offering education, training, and providing equipment21, as well as extending military supports, such as operation assessments and advice, to the forces fighting the ground war, including the Iraqi Security Forces and the Kurdistan regional government’s military organization known as Peshmerga. At the same time, in coordination with its own airstrikes and relevant forces, the Coalition works to thwart the advancement of ISIL and recapture some of the strategic areas22. However, the Iraqi Security Forces face problems, such as weak command functions and low morale23, as well as shortage of personnel. Without foreign support, it is said that the Iraqi Security Forces can neither defend against external threats, nor sustain military action domestically24. In contrast, the Peshmerga has experience with the Iraq War. The Peshmerga is considered to have relatively advanced training and a functioning chain of command, and plays a critical role in the military action against ISIL. In April 2015, with the support of Shiite militias and others, the Iraqi Security Forces succeeded in recapturing Tikrit, a key area that continues onto Mosul. However, following the recapture, backlash from local Sunnis has increased following the forage and plundering by Shiite militias, signaling sectarian struggle. Furthermore, ever since ISIL seized control of Ramadi in western Iraq in May 2015, the United States has been forced to review its strategy of prioritizing the recapture of Mosul. In this regard, the Coalition and Iraqi forces conduct seesaw offense and defense.

As regards the military action in Syria, in September 2014, the U.S. Forces and the Middle Eastern Coalition members25 conducted airstrikes on ISIL in Syria26. In addition, starting on the same month, an intense battle was raged between Kurdish forces and ISIL over Ayn al-Arab (Kurdish name: Kobani), a city in northern Syria close to the border with southern Turkey27. As a result of the Coalition’s airstrikes and the Kurdish forces’ ground war, Kurdish groups eliminated ISIL groups from Ayn al-Arab in January 2015. However, in 2015, ISIL has closed in on the nerve center of the Assad administration, occupying a part of a Palestinian refugee camp in the capital city, Damascus. In May 2015, ISIL took control of Palmyra in central Syria. ISIL thus continues to gain strength in Syria. Moderate opposition parties such as the Free Syrian Army that are expected to engage in the ground war in Syria have just started taking the Coalition’s training, and more time is deemed necessary to make full-scale advances to recapture the strategic areas.

ISIL has also been gaining strength in countries other than Iraq and Syria28. Among these countries, in Afghanistan, Algeria, Egypt29, and Libya30, ISIL is deemed to be working to establish bases mostly
in areas where there is insufficient national governance, coordinating with local terrorist organizations31.

The announced outcomes of the Coalition’s military action against ISIL led by the United States include the fragmentation of ISIL’s command and control functions, decline of morale of the organization’s members, decrease in crude oil revenues, and the deaths of many fighters including commanders. In this regard, the military action is deemed to have prevented ISIL’s further advances and made strides in recapturing some of the strategic areas. However, the Iraqi Security Forces and the moderate opposition parties that are fighting the ground war have inadequate capacity, both in quality and quantity, and require long-term training. Without the mobilization of large-scale ground war assets by the United States and other countries, analysts note that the operation could become protracted. In the United States, there are estimates that at least three years will be needed to ultimately eliminate ISIL from Iraq and Syria. The future outlook related to ISIL hence remains uncertain32.

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